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Scenario Design and Analysis

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NGFS Scenarios Q&A

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Summary Note on the Improvement of Modelling Tools for Nature-related Financial Risk Scenarios

Publication

NGFS 2026 Nature Package

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Publications and statistics29 Results

Guide to climate scenario analysis for central banks and supervisors - 2025 version

Publication Scenario design and analysis

Scenarios Risk analysis and management

13th of November 2025

2025 Explanatory notes on NGFS long-term scenarios

Publication Scenario design and analysis

Scenarios Risk analysis and management

7th of November 2025

Annual Report 2024

Publication Supervision

Nature-related risks Scenario design and analysis Monetary policy Net zero for central banks Adaptation

31st of July 2025

News6 Results

In conversation with Mr Sean Carmody Executive Director Policy & Advice, Australian Prudential Regulation Authority

Interview Interview

Supervision Disclosure Scenario design and analysis Risk analysis and management

1st of September 2024

In conversation with Ms Cindy van Oorschot, Director Pension Supervision & Sustainability, De Nederlandsche Bank

Interview Interview

Monetary policy Supervision Net zero for central banks Green transition Scenario design and analysis

8th of December 2023

The NGFS organises a launch event for the publication of its technical document on nature-related scenarios, as part of the GFRA Conference: 13 December, 1:30 PM CET, Paris & Online

Events Event

Scenario design and analysis

28th of November 2023

Press Releases16 Results

NGFS publishes the first vintage of short-term climate scenarios

Press release Press release

Scenario design and analysis Scenarios

7th of May 2025

NGFS publishes latest long-term climate macro-financial scenarios for climate risks assessment

Press release Press release

Scenario design and analysis Risk analysis and management

5th of November 2024

NGFS publishes a Technical Document providing guidance on the purpose and use of the NGFS scenarios

Press release Press release

Scenario design and analysis Risk analysis and management

23rd of January 2024

Documents11 Results

NGFS long-term scenarios, narratives and key findings: Net Zero 2050, Current Policies and Fragmented World (PDF - 6.13 MB)

Note on key assumptions of NGFS long-term scenarios Phase V (PDF - 453.47 KB)

Tipping Points in the Earth System in the context of the NGFS physical risk assessment A short note (PDF - 306.56 KB)

Physical risks in the updated Climate Impact Explorer (PDF - 6.12 MB)

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Our current topics

Transition plans Scenario design and analysis Nature-related risks Capacity building and training Adaptation

Our current topics

Transition plans Scenario design and analysis Nature-related risks Capacity building and training Adaptation