The NGFS publishes a series of explanatory notes aimed at improving the clarity and usability of its long-term climate scenarios. These notes respond to valuable feedback from users, which highlighted the need for greater transparency regarding the assumptions and narratives underlying the NGFS scenarios. This initiative is designed to support a deeper understanding and to encourage broader application of the scenarios.  

Download the cover note

2025 Explanatory notes on NGFS long-term scenarios Cover Note... (PDF - 229.4 KB)

Download the note on Energy investments in the NGFS long-term scenarios phase V

Energy investments in the NGFS long-term scenarios phase V... (PDF - 797.48 KB)

Download the note on NGFS scenarios narratives and key findings

NGFS long-term scenarios, narratives and key findings: Net Zero 2050, ... (PDF - 6.13 MB)

Download the note on key assumptions of NGFS long term scenarios Phase V

Note on key assumptions of NGFS long-term scenarios Phase V... (PDF - 453.47 KB)

Download the note on Physical risks in the updated Climate Impact Explorer

Physical risks in the updated Climate Impact Explorer... (PDF - 6.12 MB)

Download the note on Tipping points in the earth system

Tipping Points in the Earth System in the context of the NGFS physical... (PDF - 306.56 KB)

Updated on the 7th of November 2025

Our current topics

Transition plans Scenario design and analysis Nature-related risks Capacity building and training Adaptation